Seven Money-Making Schemes That Sound Too Good To Be True - But Are True

According to the old adage, "If it's too good to be true, it's a scam".

In times of rampant fraud, like we're seeing in the crypto world now, many people are repeating this warning. Take the OP of this LinkedIn Post for example.

I'm sure they're all well-meaning.

I'm also sure that their warning is valid most of the times.

But what about the rest of the times?

https://twitter.com/s_ketharaman/status/1609845616867422210

Many fortunes have been made on the back of money-making schemes that seemed questionable at the time but worked out well in the end.

In this post, I'll share five examples of such schemes:

1. Sam Bankman-Fried Khimchi Premium
2. Sachin Bansal and Binny Bansal Flipkart Sale
3. Bernie Madoff Ponzi Scheme
4. Kunal Shah Startups
5. eBay Bonanza

Let's get on with it.

1. Sam Bankman-Fried Khimchi Premium

Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX, raised nearly a billion dollars in seed capital for his now-bankrupt cryptoexchange by using the so-called Bitcoin Khimchi Arbitrage.

SBF noticed that Bitcoin was trading at $10,000 in USA and $15,000 in Japan / Korea. This was too good to be true - one simply buys Bitcoin at the lower price, sells it at the higher price, and pockets the 50% difference. Instead of dismissing it, SBF decided to create some accounts on different exchanges to do a proof of concept. It worked! And yielded a $20 profit. SBF immediately plonked down $50,000 of his own money to work. - Adapted from Sam Bankman-Fried Has A Savior Complex - And Maybe You Should Too by Adam Fisher*.

The rest is history.

SBF effectively exploited the "too good to be true - but true" delta between the price of Bitcoin in USA and Asia to make a billion dollars in profit in a few weeks. (If you do the math, $50,000 compounding at 50% per day will result in one billion dollars in 24 trading days.)

2. Sachin Bansal and Binny Bansal Flipkart Sale

If somone came around and told you, "Hey, take this money to start a company and become a billionaire in 10 years without making profits", most of you will throw them out as a conman.

Sachin Bansal and Binny Bansal did not.

Instead, they founded Flipkart and rode the VC Investment Model** to blockbuster success for Flipkart and themselves. More at How Do Founders Become Rich When Their Startups Don’t Make Profits?** 

(For the uninitiated, India's largest ecommerce company Flipkart was founded in 2007 and sold out to Walmart for $22 billion dollars in 2017. The two co-founders cashed out with a billion dollars apiece. The company still makes losses. At $549M, it's the highest loss-making "startup" in India.)

3. Bernie Madoff Ponzi Scheme

The first one-third of investors in Ponzi Schemes typically receive the promised outsized returns, however "too good to be true" they are.

(According to studies, the second one-third gets its capital back, only the last third loses its shirt.).

4. Kunal Shah Startups

Kunal Shah is the Founder of CRED, a unicorn startup that gives rewards for paying a credit card bill. Yes, that's right, credit card bill. This is over and above the reward points given by the credit card company for making purchases on the credit card. This would sound too good to be true to anyone who even has an iota of understanding about credit cards work, as I highlighted in InCREDible Rise Of CRED** but it is true.

Kunal Shah's previous startup gave coupons worth the full amount of what was topped up by prepaid mobile phone users and was appropriately called FreeCharge. If that sounds even more incredible, it is, but not only for its users - Shah exited by selling the startup for $400 million.

5. eBay Bonanza

You place an order for coffee pods for $20 on a random seller on eBay and pay with your credit card. Two days later, you receive the coffee pods and a coffeemaker machine worth $200 along with a note that says "enjoy the free gift". The package also contains an invoice from Nespresso for $220 with your name on it. You check your credit card online, it shows only your $20 charge to eBay seller and nothing to Nespresso.

If this happens to you, enjoy the bonanza! There's no catch as far as you're concerned.

According to NPR, you're the beneficiary of the so-called triangulation fraud used by carders. As explained in its podcast titled Wake up and smell the fraud, the eBay seller pockets your $20 and uses stolen credit card details (available on the dark web for ~$5) to place an order for the coffee pods and coffeemaker machine on Nespresso website for $220 (but effectively at zero cost to him since the card is stolen) and enters your name and address for delivery. He gifts you the coffeemaker with the expectation that, like the vast majority of people who won't look a gift horse in the mouth, you'd be delighted with the freebie and leave a good review for him on the site, thus helping him to continue to perpetuate this fraud.

I encourage you to listen to the podcast to understand who the real victim is (Spoiler alert: It's not you).

https://twitter.com/s_ketharaman/status/1728712782953009368

While you didn't seek out this money making scheme, it sought you out and enriched you.

I'm sure some of you will pushback against the above examples and say that such money making schemes are very rare.

I won't disagree with you.

But, wealth creation is equally rare.

Known to be subject to Power Law Curve, generational wealth is restricted to only 1-2% of the world's population. So, even a 1% success rate for "too good to be true" money-making schemes is not bad odds.

DISCLAIMER: This is a report of past events. It is not investing or legal advice.

*: This article was published on Sequoia Capital website on 22 September 2022 and subsequently deleted when FTX filed for bankruptcy.

**: Hyperlinks to these posts on my company website removed to comply with Finextra Community Rules but these posts should appear on top of Google Search results when searched by their title + "GTM360".