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The Olympics Amongst all of the events happening in China in 2008, without a doubt, the most important item on the Chinese agenda this year is the Beijing Olympics. Seen by both domestic and international observers as a key indication of China’s development, the Chinese government has spared no expense in preparing for the games. The entire city ...
21 January 2008
Betting on the Dragon Since January 2000, the Shanghai Stock Exchange composite has grown by an average of 20% a year. Compared to other past market bubbles, we can see that while the shanghai market isn’t matching the heady 500% growth of the NASDAQ during the 1995-2001 dotcom bubble, it is coming close. Over the long-term, stocks offer some of t...
17 January 2008
Year 4706, the year of the rat, begins on February 7th in China this year. With the celebration just under a month away, it’s tempting to use the time to procrastinate on making predictions on what will happen in China is 2008 as it’s technically not the new year here yet, but unfortunately, China doesn’t wait. So over the next couple entries we’...
16 January 2008
The Shanghai stock market continues to defy expectations -- up nearly 100% in 2007. Most of the commentary on the Shanghai market depicts the average Chinese investor as unknowledgeable and following the herd. However, a recent study that we’ve (kapronasia) just completed with Amber (www.amberinsights.com) shows that individual Shanghai A-share i...
20 November 2007
According to a recent statistic published by China Union Pay, Chinese banks have issued more than 1.3 billion debit, credit and ‘quasi’-credit cards through the end of September. This means that, on average, every man, woman and child in China now carries a piece of plastic. Quite a staggering number and, at first glance, quite promising. Howe...
07 November 2007
Two years ago in 2005, GE agreed to buy a 7% stake in Shenzhen Development Bank, which at the time was worth US$100M. However, the deal had been held up due due to disagreements amongst the shareholders, one of which was the private equity group TPG. Most of the disagreements centred around government requirements on share restructuring as the i...
24 October 2007
Not to miss the ‘invest in China’ boat, yesterday, Bear Stearns and Citic Securities announced a co-investment partnership agreement. If everything is approved by the regulators, which it likely will be, Bear, the darling of the CDO market, will invest US$1B in the Chinese brokerage, which will convert to a 2% stake over 6 years with the option t...
23 October 2007
For the past few weeks, most of the major news in China has centred on the Communist Party Congress. This is an pretty important event in China that happens once every 5 years and usually results in a number of far-reaching policy and people changes throughout the country and government. What has slipped under the radar during all the coverage ...
18 October 2007
The China Banking Regulatory Commission recently reported Chinese banking industry numbers and for a brief comparison: Profits: 1H2007 - 268.97 billion yuan (35.8 billion U.S. dollars) FY2003 – 32.28 billion yuan NPL (% of non-performing loans): 2007 – 8.98% 2003 – 17.9% Total assets: 2007 – 48.5 trillion yuan 2003 – 26.5 trillion yuan We can dra...
08 October 2007
Lead Toys With recall troubles dating back to 2005 when a toddler in the US ate a loose magnet and later died, the toy manufacture Mattel has been in the centre of a toy recall that has thousands of class-action lawyers around the world drooling. The company has gone through numerous recalls in the past few months, the largest being for 18 millio...
25 September 2007
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